COVID-19 लॉकडाउन के दौरान, कई व्यक्तियों और निगमों ने अपने व्यवसाय को चालू रखने के लिए व्यावसायिक विमानन की ओर रुख किया. पिछले दो वर्षों में जबरदस्त वृद्धि के बावजूद बाजार स्थिर हुआ है. व्यापार उड्डयन के स्थिरीकरण के बारे में अधिक जानने के लिए पढ़ना जारी रखें.
व्यावसायिक विमानों के उपयोग और बिक्री लेनदेन में COVID-संचालित लाभ के स्तर से शुरू होने के साथ, analysts with Global Jet Capital offered their insights during a Sept. 8 NBAA News Hour webinar about the latest buying and selling trends in what continues to be a dynamic worldwide environment.
Bill Ostrove, market intelligence analyst for the company, cited an expected “return to normal” throughout 2022 as the market has stabilized following last year’s “blistering” rate of growth. Despite that slight drop, Ostrove expects about a half-percent overall annual growth in business aircraft transactions for the year.
“We have seen exceptional demand over the last 18-24 महीने," उसने जोड़ा, “which has created a backlog for manufacturers, as well as some shortages and declines in inventory we obviously need to work through.”
Other parameters, including new model introductions and relatively consistent aircraft replacement patterns, should add further stability and resilience to the business aircraft marketplace despite unforeseen “black swan” events that can quickly upend expected patterns.
“Impacts from [COVID-19 and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine] do find their way into the macro- and micro-economic data and then eventually inform [analytical] मॉडल के,” said Global Jet Capital Chief Marketing Officer Andrew Farrant, adding such events can also ultimately bolster the market.
“The initial shock from COVID lockdowns in spring 2020 eventually became an opportunity for business aviation," उन्होंने उल्लेख किया, “with many individuals and corporations turning to business aviation to keep their businesses moving.”
One audience poll during the webinar revealed most attendees expect these new entrants to continue their use of business aviation five years from now, which Farrant noted is in line with company projections.
"[One OEM] has said a lot of its current order book comes from first-time buyers and new entrants sold over the COVID period," उसने जोड़ा. “I [believe] some of that will come out as scheduled [एयरलाइन] service gets back to where it’s supposed to be, but this demand has put our industry on a new plateau.”
तथापि, another shift in world events or economic patterns could alter that forecast significantly by impacting GDP, global trade, stock markets and other indicators of general economic health, with ripple effects to new aircraft backlogs and deliveries and used inventories.
ओस्ट्रोव ने इस बात पर जोर दिया कि मॉडल में नियमित अपडेट "भविष्य का सटीक प्रतिबिंब" प्रदान करने के लिए महत्वपूर्ण हैं.
"कुछ [सर्वेक्षण उत्तरदाता] उन्होंने कहा कि उनका मानना है कि मौजूदा पूर्वानुमान बहुत आशावादी हैं, और मैं निश्चित रूप से उनकी बात समझ सकता हूँ," उन्होंने कहा. “हम एक बहुत ही गतिशील दुनिया में हैं और, विशेषकर अभी, वहाँ बहुत सारी चीज़ें चल रही हैं और बहुत सी चीज़ों को ध्यान में रखना है।''
