在 COVID-19 封锁期间, 许多个人和公司转向公务航空来维持他们的业务正常运转. 尽管过去两年大幅增长，但市场已趋于稳定. 继续阅读以了解有关稳定公务航空的更多信息.
随着 COVID 驱动的公务机使用量和销售交易量开始趋于平稳, analysts with Global Jet Capital offered their insights during a Sept. 8 NBAA News Hour webinar about the latest buying and selling trends in what continues to be a dynamic worldwide environment.
Bill Ostrove, market intelligence analyst for the company, cited an expected “return to normal” throughout 2022 as the market has stabilized following last year’s “blistering” rate of growth. Despite that slight drop, Ostrove expects about a half-percent overall annual growth in business aircraft transactions for the year.
“We have seen exceptional demand over the last 18-24 个月,“ 他加了, “which has created a backlog for manufacturers, as well as some shortages and declines in inventory we obviously need to work through.”
Other parameters, 包括新机型的推出和相对一致的飞机更新换代模式, 尽管不可预见的“黑天鹅”事件可能迅速颠覆预期模式，但仍应进一步增强公务飞机市场的稳定性和弹性.
“影响来自 [COVID-19 和俄罗斯入侵乌克兰] 确实找到了进入宏的方法- 和微观经济数据，然后最终告知 [分析性的] 楷模,Global Jet Capital 首席营销官 Andrew Farrant 说道, 增加此类活动也最终可以提振市场.
“春季新冠疫情封锁带来的最初冲击 2020 最终成为公务航空的机遇,“他指出，, “许多个人和企业转向公务航空来保持业务发展。”
网络研讨会期间的一项观众调查显示，大多数与会者预计这些新进入者将在五年后继续使用公务航空, 法兰特指出这符合公司的预测.
“[一家OEM] 该公司表示，目前的大部分订单来自首次购房者和新冠疫情期间出售的新进入者,“ 他加了. “我 [相信] 其中一些将按计划发布 [航空公司] 服务恢复到应有的状态, 但这种需求使我们的行业进入了一个新的平台。”
然而, 世界事件或经济模式的另一个转变可能会通过影响 GDP 来显着改变这一预测, 全球贸易, 股市和其他总体经济健康指标, 对新飞机积压、交付以及二手库存产生连锁反应.
Ostrove emphasized regular updates to the model are vital to providing “an accurate reflection of the future.
“Some [poll respondents] said they believe current forecasts are too optimistic, and I can definitely see their point,“ 他说. “We are in a very dynamic world and, especially right now, there’s just so many things going on and so many things to take into account.”
